Who Should You Vote For Bet On?
A Brief Analysis of Forecasting

With Professors Robert Carraway, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Casey Lichtendahl

Did you know who would win the 2016 Iowa caucus beforehand? Join Darden Professors Carraway, Grushka-Cockayne and Lichtendahl to analyze forecasting models that experts such as Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight used to determine the outcome of the caucus — and what it might mean for your business. You'll explore:

  • Wisdom of Crowds — how averaging multiple predictions can lead to more accurate results
  • Role of Uncertainty — when making a forecast, what you DON'T know is as important as what you do know


Strategic Analysis and Decision-Making

Carraway, Grushka-Cockayne and Lichtendahl also teach in the Strategic Analysis and Decision-Making course. You'll learn how to work with predictive models and forecasting tools to map out risks, rewards and varying outcomes so you can logically assess the consequences of your choices and make more confident, profitable decisions for your organization.